imf warns on chinas midterm economic stability
Last Updated : GMT 09:07:40
Egypt Today, egypt today
Egypt Today, egypt today
Last Updated : GMT 09:07:40
Egypt Today, egypt today

IMF warns on China's mid-term economic stability

Egypt Today, egypt today

Egypt Today, egypt today IMF warns on China's mid-term economic stability

Chinese corporate debt stood at around 120 percent of GDP in 2015
Beijing - AFP

China must take "urgent" action to reform its economy or risk "permanently lower growth", the International Monetary Fund said in a report Friday, citing mounting corporate debt as a major concern.

While near-term growth prospects remain good, Beijing's failure to move on long-promised reforms is raising the chances of a medium-term hard landing in the world's second-largest economy, it said.

China is seeking to restructure its economy to make the spending power of its nearly 1.4 billion people a key driver for growth, instead of massive government investment and cheap exports.

But the transition has caused growth to sputter. The Asian giant's economy expanded at 6.7 percent in the April-June period, the same as the first three months of the year and slowing from 6.9 percent in 2015 -- its weakest annual rate in a quarter of a century.

"China's economic transition will continue to be complex, challenging and potentially bumpy, against the backdrop of heightened downside risks and eroding buffers," the IMF report said.

"Vulnerabilities are still rising on a dangerous trajectory and fiscal and foreign exchange buffers, while still adequate, are eroding," it said.

Resource misallocation, corporate debt, excess capacity and financial opacity were major problems that needed to be addressed, it specified.

"While the challenges are still manageable, urgent action is needed to ensure they remain so," it added.

While Beijing has made verbal pledges to tackle such issues, it has not followed through in practice, the report noted, saying that "government policy and pronouncements seem to alternate between prioritising reform and growth".

The report cited growing corporate debt as a particular concern.

Excluding the financial sector, it stood at around 120 percent of GDP in 2015, estimates in the IMF document said, projecting it could grow by more than 20 points by 2021.

A June report by the China Academy of Social Sciences put the figure even higher, saying it could have already reached 156 percent back in 2014.

The IMF said that in the mid-term, failure to move would "add to vulnerabilities, worsen resource misallocation, and lead to permanently lower growth".

Beijing has no time to lose, the Washington-based institution said, recommending that "progress should be kick-started in the next few months."

The report painted a rosier picture for China's short-term prospects, saying that stimulus measures had created a "benign" outlook.

In July, the IMF upped its forecast for Chinese growth this year by 0.1 percentage points, to 6.6 percent.

egypttoday
egypttoday

Name *

E-mail *

Comment Title*

Comment *

: Characters Left

Mandatory *

Terms of use

Publishing Terms: Not to offend the author, or to persons or sanctities or attacking religions or divine self. And stay away from sectarian and racial incitement and insults.

I agree with the Terms of Use

Security Code*

imf warns on chinas midterm economic stability imf warns on chinas midterm economic stability



GMT 10:14 2019 Monday ,19 August

Love a special date with you

GMT 10:34 2012 Tuesday ,23 October

Stacy Keibler in Monique Lhuillier

GMT 13:29 2018 Friday ,14 December

Turkey targets military over alleged Gulen links

GMT 01:25 2016 Thursday ,27 October

Deputy FM back home from Juba

GMT 09:20 2012 Friday ,16 November

Twilight\' stars eye new life after vampire saga

GMT 06:21 2017 Sunday ,13 August

US Marines pause flights for 24 hours

GMT 08:01 2017 Monday ,30 October

Christie: Mueller's targets should be concerned

GMT 07:48 2018 Tuesday ,23 January

Kurds invited to join Syria peace

GMT 09:05 2013 Wednesday ,31 July

Angelina Jolie\'s classic style

GMT 14:44 2012 Monday ,27 February

Capital by John Lanchester

GMT 10:28 2017 Thursday ,09 November

Emboldened Xi, weakened Trump face tough talks
 
 Egypt Today Facebook,egypt today facebook  Egypt Today Twitter,egypt today twitter Egypt Today Rss,egypt today rss  Egypt Today Youtube,egypt today youtube  Egypt Today Youtube,egypt today youtube

Maintained and developed by Arabs Today Group SAL.
All rights reserved to Arab Today Media Group 2025 ©

Maintained and developed by Arabs Today Group SAL.
All rights reserved to Arab Today Media Group 2025 ©

egypttoday egypttoday egypttoday egypttoday
egypttoday egypttoday egypttoday
egypttoday
بناية النخيل - رأس النبع _ خلف السفارة الفرنسية _بيروت - لبنان
egypttoday, Egypttoday, Egypttoday